Tuesday, November 27, 2012
What Are The Odds?
With the Powerball jackpot reaching $500 million,
lottery ticket sales are very brisk. So what are the odds of winning? 1 in 175
million. You would have a better chance of randomly predicting the name
of a female in the United States (1 in 157 million). While the jackpot
is announced at $500 million, it is actually paid over 30 payments with
the first payment being made today. If the winner selects the cash
option, they will receive "only" $327 million. So, with equal annual
payments, what interest rate is being offered? Check for yourself that
it is about 3.24 percent. Of course, Powerball payments actually
increase at 4 percent per year to keep pace with inflation. Given this
growth rate in the payments, what is the nominal interest rate offered
on the payments now? Check for yourself that the rate is about 9.82
percent.