Monday, November 12, 2012
Eugene Fama Interview
Professor Eugene Fama from the University of Chicago is regarded as a
financial leader, with some of the most cited research in Finance. In a recent interview,
Fama discusses a wide range of financial topics, including the ability
of portfolio managers to beat the stock market, the equity risk premium,
CAPM, and a discussion of underfunded pensions, among other topics. As
for the equity risk premium, Fama argues that because of an increase
in PE ratios, the equity risk premium going forward is about 4 percent,
significantly lower than the approximately 7.5 percent historic risk
premium since 1926. In the discussion of underfunded pension
liabilities, Fama argues that "The sponsor should be discounting the
liabilities at the expected return implied by the risk of the
liabilities, not the expected return of the assets." To show the link
between different areas of Finance, consider that while the interview
discusses capital markets, this statement is a fundamental tenant of
capital budgeting, that is, the cost of capital depends on the use of
funds, not the source of funds.